Introduction
In spring 2007, the
Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC), the leading body to review climate change science, published its Fourth Assessment Report. The report gave a clear signal that climate change is happening and accelerating, that much of it is caused by the continued and increasing emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities and that it can have severe impacts. The IPPC report injected a new sense of urgency into the UN climate change negotiations.
Data submitted to the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) shows that emissions of 40 industrialized countries that have greenhouse gas reporting obligations under the Convention remained in 2006 below the 1990 level by about 5%, but rose by 2.3 percent in the time-frame 2000 to 2006. For the smaller group of those industrialized countries that have ratified the Kyoto Protocol, emissions in 2006 were about 17% below the Kyoto baseline, but still growing after the year 2000. The emissions reduction mainly came about through the economic decline of economies in transition (countries in eastern and central Europe) in the 1990s.
The UNFCCC
The UNFCC was adopted at the historical Earth Summit in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro. In December 1997 agreement was reached to add the Kyoto Protocol to the Convention. The ultimate objective of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, which was approved on behalf of the European Community by Council Decision 94/69/EC of 15 December 1993, is to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.
In its foreword, the Council Decision sets the framework for this commitment by insisting on the need to do more than ratify the Montreal Protocol on the protection of the Ozone Layer (1987). The Montreal Protocol, which proved to bring significant results in the protection of the ozone layer being the first legally binding international multilateral environmental agreement, paved to way to a more ambitious and holistic way of thinking about global efforts to protect the planet. While keeping in mind the long-term objective of preventing the so-called 'dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system', the UN Convention agrees to start off a new process. This resulted in the adoption on 11th December 1997 of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
The past Conference of the Parties are:

The Kyoto Protocol
The Kyoto Protocol includes binding emission reduction targets for Annex I Countries (industrialized countries) for the period 2008-2012. The Kyoto Protocol is the first instrument in the history of the UNFCCC to set quantified commitments to Parties. COP/MOP are high-ranking government representatives from all over the world meet as the governing body of the Protocol and with the single explicit purpose of ensuring its implementation.
Countries' commitments
Annex I countries (industrialized countries): Australia, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Monaco, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russian Federation, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, United States of America (40 countries and separately the European Union).
Annex II countries (developed countries which pay for costs of developing countries)
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States of America (23 countries and separately the European Union; Turkey was removed from the annex II list in 2001 at its request to recognize its economy as a transition economy).
See list of developing countries on the UNFCCC website


The EU's commitment
Under the Kyoto Protocol, the EU is committed to reducing its GHG emissions by 8% from 1990 levels by 2008-2012. The reductions can be the product of several EC-wide measures and mechanisms, such as the EU ETS, the means to increase the energy efficiency of buildings, or the reduction of pollution emanating from road transport. The EU's and Member States' emission reduction targets are specified in the Ratification Decision that originally dates back to June 2008. This decision is part of the so-called Burden Sharing Agreement which aims at redistributing the reduction targets among Members States. It results from a EU Environmental Council Decision of 16 June, 1998.
The EU greenhouse gas reduction targets are:

Source: Europa
The Bali Road Map
At the Climate Change Conference in Bali in December 2007, all Parties to the UNFCCC - both developed and developing countries - agreed to step up their efforts to combat climate change and to this end adopted a number of decisions, which together made up the Bali Road Map. They agreed to advance ongoing work on key issues including technology, adaptation and reducing emissions from deforestation. Furthermore, Parties decided to launch formal negotiations on a deal on long-term cooperative action. Governments were in broad consensus coming into Bali on the need for a new negotiating process under the Convention addressing five elements, also called 'Building Blocks' – mitigation, adaptation, technology, and investment and finance – and ending in 2009. These negotiations are set to be concluded by the end of 2009 at the Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen. The aim is that the Copenhagen deal would enter into force no later than by the end of 2012 when the first commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol expires. The key issues in Bali were defining the anticipated scale of effort and the nature of the actions to be negotiated for developed and developing countries. The United States differed with most parties on both issues, at times supported by Japan, Canada, Australia, and Russia.
Initial drafts supported by the EU called for global emissions to peak in 10 to 15 years and decline “well below half” of 2000 levels by 2050, and for developed country emissions to be 25-40% below 1990 levels by 2020. The United States strenuously opposed the 2020 numbers, which are far more aggressive than the target levels in legislation now before Congress to establish mandatory economy-wide emission limits. The final compromise contains no numbers for either timeframe. It simply calls for “deep cuts in global emissions,” with a footnote to portions of the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report that present a range of emission reduction scenarios (noting that “under most equity interpretations” developed country emissions must fall 10-40% by 2020). The decision calls for the development of a “long-term global goal for emission reductions.”
In March 2007, EU Heads of State and Government endorsed an EU objective of a 30% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 compared to 1990 as its contribution to a global and comprehensive agreement for the period beyond 2012, provided that other developed countries commit themselves to comparable emission reductions and economically more advanced developing countries commit themselves to contributing adequately according to their responsibilities and capabilities.
European Heads of States endorsed an EU objective of a 30% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 compared to 1990 as its contribution to a global and comprehensive agreement for the period beyond 2012, provided that other developed countries commit themselves to comparable emission reductions and economically more advanced developing countries commit themselves to contributing adequately according to their responsibilities and capabilities.
The Community has, on multiple occasions, stressed that, in order to meet this objective, the overall global annual mean surface temperature increase should not exceed 2°C above pre- industrial levels, which implies that global greenhouse gas emissions should be reduced to at least 50% below 1990 levels by 2050. All sectors of the economy should contribute to achieving these emission reductions. Developed countries should continue to take the lead by committing to collectively reducing their emissions of greenhouse gases in the order of 30% by 2020 compared to 1990.
The Poznan COP (1-12 December 2008)
What is a COP?
The discussion in Poznan focused on:
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Carrying out the Bali Road Map on: adaptation, mitigation, technology, financing and the shared vision for a new climate change regime. Parties will discuss those issues in the Ad-Hoc Working Group on Long-Term Cooperative Action (AWG-LCA). Within the context of this working group, in-session workshops will deal in depth with the issue of risk management and risk reduction strategies, and the shared vision. Parties will discuss in detail proposals put forward on the future financial architecture of the agreed outcome at Copenhagen, along with technology and capacity-building. |
Read the detail of the AWG-LCA's agenda here.
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Reviewing the Kyoto Protocol: Article 9 of the Protocol requires a periodic review of the treaty in the light of the best available scientific information on climate change and its impacts, as well as relevant technical, social and economic information.
The Ad Hoc Working Group on Further Commitments for Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol (AWG-KP) is scheduled to finish deliberations on the possible means to achieve mitigation objectives for developed countries, before moving on to consider ranges of emission reduction objectives of Annex I Parties.Among the elements identified for review are issues related to the scope and effectiveness of the flexible mechanisms, including the capacity of Parties to participate in the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). |
Read the detail of the AWG-KP's agenda here.
Read the report of the AWG-KP after Poznan here
Mandate for Copenhagen
Two tracks lead to Copenhagen.
Under the AWG-KP
The next commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol will be negotiated. In the centre of these negotiations stands the strengthening of the climate targets for industrialized countries, with the exception of the USA which didn't ratify Kyoto. The development of an emissions trading mechanism with the developing countries and emerging economies, as under the CDM will also be negotiated during the COP15.
Under the AWG-LCA
Within the framework of the UNFCCC, a complementary agreement will be negotiated, which concerns the USA's reduction targets as well as the climate protection obligations of emerging economies. New instruments to reduce emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD) will also be discussed in the Mitigation working groups. The Adaptation building block will for its part discuss the obligations of industrialised countries to support adaptation. The third building block in the AWG-LCA should structure the large-scale technology cooperation between industrialised and developing countries for climate protection and adaptation (technology cooperation). The fourth building block ultimately deals with the financing of climate protection and forest conservation, adaptation and technology cooperation (finance).
The year 2009 will see many so-called 'inter-sessional' meetings to prepare for Copenhagen.
Bonn (28 March - 8 April 2009)
The Bonn Intersessional (28 March - 8 April) is the seventh session of the AWG-KP and the fifth session of the AWG-LCA.
Under the AWG-KP, it will be preceded by a number of preparatory events, including:
1) In-depth consultations on:
a) land use, land-use change and forestry
b) emissions trading and the project-based
mechanisms
2) Introduction of the AWG-KP Chair's texts
3) Workshop on issues relating to the scale of emission
reductions to be achieved by Annex I Parties
More largely, in 2009 the AWG-KP will focus on agreeing on further commitments for Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol. Such an agreement will emerge as the Group develops and considers:
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A text for any proposed amendments pursuant to Article 3.9 of the Kyoto Protocol: 'Commitments for subsequent periods for Parties included in Annex I shall be established in amendments to Annex B to this Protocol, which shall be adopted in accordance with the provisions of Article 21, paragraph 7. The Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to this Protocol shall initiate the consideration of such commitments at least seven years before the end of the first commitment period referred to in paragraph 1 above.'
Article 21, paragraph 7 states: 'Amendments to Annexes A and B to this Protocol shall be adopted and enter into force in accordance with the procedure set out in Article 20, provided that any amendment to Annex B shall be adopted only with the written consent of the Party concerned.'
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A text on the issues outlined in paragraph 49 of document FCCC/KP/AWG/2008/8
At its seventh session, the AWG-KP will discuss issues identified in paragraph 49 of document FCCC/KP/AWG/2008/8. It will also consider four notes prepared by the Chair with a view to advancing work on the texts referred to above and agreeing on a draft amendment text.
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Read the submissions of Parties in 2008.
In 2009 the Group will focus on agreeing on further commitments for Annex I Parties under the Kyoto Protocol. Such an agreement will emerge as the Group develops and considers:
* A text for any proposed amendments pursuant to Article 3.9 of the Kyoto Protocol
* A text on the issues outlined in paragraph 49 of document FCCC/KP/AWG/2008/8
At its seventh session, the AWG-KP will discuss issues identified in paragraph 49 of document FCCC/KP/AWG/2008/8. It will also consider four notes prepared by the Chair with a view to advancing work on the texts referred to above and agreeing on a draft amendment text.
In the News
Two weeks ahead of the UN Climate Change Conference in Poznan, Poland, the UN Climate Change Secretariat in Bonn has reported that greenhouse gas emissions in industrialized countries continue to rise. Secretary General of the UNFCCC Yvo De Boer invited the US President in Poznan. Watch the video
US President-elect Barak Obama said he would not attend UN-sponsored climate talks in Poland in December as President George W. Bush will still be in office then. But he sent a message to international delegates who have spent years battling Bush representatives over targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and halt global warming.
In the Council Conclusions of December 12th 2008, the European Heads of State reaffirm the 30 % reduction commitment by reaffirming the essential role of the Climate and Energy Package to contribute to the global efforts of emissions mitigation. The statement is the following:
"This package will implement the ambitious energy and climate commitments entered into by the European Union in March 2007 and March 2008, especially the target of a 20% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. The European Council confirms the European Union's commitment to increasing this reduction to 30% within the framework of an ambitious and comprehensive global agreement in Copenhagen on climate change for the period after 2012 on condition that the other developed countries undertake to achieve comparable emission reductions and that the economically more advanced developing countries make a contribution commensurate with their respective responsibilities and capabilities."
Read the Council Conclusion
In an interview of Newsweek, the UN Secretary General Ban Ki Moon calls on 60-80% global GHG cuts by 2050. He talks about the climate negotiations of Poznan and Copenhagen saying:
'In early December, world leaders gathered in Poznan, Poland, to chart a shared vision for the future. Then in another year comes a long-awaited summit in Copenhagen, where nations hope to reach a comprehensive new deal on climate change. Getting there will require a clear plan with specific goals within an agreed institutional architecture; a serious commitment to green-technology transfers; and, above all, a readiness by both developing and developed nations to do their part.'
Read the article.
The European Commission welcomed the outcomes of the UNFCCC negotiations in Poznan, read the article.
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Sources: Euractiv, UNFCCC Fact Sheet, UNFCCC Website, Europa, Germanwatch, Wikipedia, Youtube